TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over26c91,276$23,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,731.852326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under74c45,357$33,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,746.021,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c14,190$10,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c12,120$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over13c8,455$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.951,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c4,405$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Under75c3,653$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.345754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under79c2,678$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.5234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c2,639$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under74c2,634$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.888047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Under75c2,608$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.883070%21 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over10c2,499$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.927823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under72c1,851$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4110146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Over25c1,720$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.210326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c1,639$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.472,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over30c1,452$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5914231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over26c1,423$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over19c1,414$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.381,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over16c1,388$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.084470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under75c1,329$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8363255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under75c1,174$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under75c1,174$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c3…71f9backed Under75c1,090$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under77c1,085$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c799.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under75c758.87$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.534144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over23c743.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over26c738.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1129138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over24c710$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.143826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Under73c700$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19119531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7294…3b5dbacked Under75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under74c659$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0757541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c645.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c632.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.792,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over19c617$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c613.21$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under74c612.5$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.251,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under68c568.95$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under78c559$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.61,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over18c555.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c552.98$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c546$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over26c527.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.113823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under75c514.67$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6710042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c492$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.881,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…b13abacked Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under76c400$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.14153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3605…e7cbbacked Under76c393.72$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.922369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Under80c385.9$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.184963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over26c377.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0822436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c375.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.561,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bc…0d48backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508732.2%28 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over16c345$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.24566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over19c337.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1622731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over13c302.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7832317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over16c281.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.088453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Over5c277.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.058438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6727951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Under77c258.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0817447.7%83 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Under78c256.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410862%67 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71e…e07dbacked Under75c239.51$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.885459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over16c235$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over16c231.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0311360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over26c226.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.965248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over26c223$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over16c219.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.199862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over16c212.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0413158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over16c207$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over7c205.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over16c201.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.214260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c193.34$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.271,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…be17backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over17c192.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6430836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over16c188.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1312156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over26c185.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1520056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over25c181.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.831,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over12c151.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over26c146.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.127339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over26c137.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.