South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa059bb4040f14bd94db1ffd0e1fe16f6a0ddf2d49dff9d7a481b87b310f1beb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 9,827$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 59c | 2,550$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.5 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 616.09$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 525.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 68c | 440.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Under | 80c | 346.53$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Over | 58c | 341.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 39c | 337.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 261.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Under | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 161.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…33f4backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 48c | 91.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 76.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Over | 35c | 64.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Under | 51c | 60.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 58.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 64c | 58.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…1a55backed Under | 58c | 53.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…5b6cbacked Under | 46c | 49.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 60c | 45.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 43.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 72c | 39.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Under | 44c | 37.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 58c | 34.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 32.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 35c | 31.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…a99fbacked Over | 44c | 30.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 54c | 29.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Under | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 27.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…18bfbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 63c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…c86dbacked Under | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…32e4backed Over | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1d15backed Over | 64c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 73c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.