TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4d…619abacked Yes30c166,667$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No70c150,000$105,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,0007938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c20,176$14,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.5796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c7,769$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.0168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c5,576$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes20c5,191$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.1934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes30c3,400$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No80c1,779$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.796155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes17c1,724$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c1,548$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c1,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes30c1,372$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6410038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c1,372$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed No71c1,250$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No69c1,145$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…e948backed No70c1,136$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No71c1,078$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c1,034$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes30c999.14$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.044953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa689…c42ebacked No70c835.71$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes29c787.14$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2736630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes30c670$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c669.52$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No70c593$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes30c570$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17117651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c565.46$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c505.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No79c503.33$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2117529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1be…7830backed Yes17c400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No70c395$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No70c388.84$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No80c388$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c382.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb18…d006backed Yes16c380.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No70c376.93$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.081776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No69c299.06$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7114142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes31c269.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.579826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f5…001dbacked Yes21c248.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No71c241.46$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.021650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Yes20c237.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No69c230$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes16c224.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.899124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c197.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Yes30c178.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.821855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f3…1248backed Yes16c177$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163c…2af1backed Yes30c171.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c159.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No68c147.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes20c143$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…44d9backed Yes18c141.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…c86fbacked No70c141.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.43875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a17…282bbacked No70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No80c132.89$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes31c129.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes19c128.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No70c124.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c112$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7221445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes10c109$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee69…0c70backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a1…7f2bbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes18c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…6c1cbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d1…525dbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes29c92.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c90.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No70c86.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf0…e8c1backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…c2eebacked Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes32c79.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.235347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x868c…ec46backed Yes33c71.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01f…06f5backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.