TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes21c40,963$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.796431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c24,549$19,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.9368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Yes24c20,510$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c11,096$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.085424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes12c9,900$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1961546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes22c9,063$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c6,432$5,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No80c6,039$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.737938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c6,037$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.0398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c5,066$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.9748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes4c4,167$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes21c3,500$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes21c3,482$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.283321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c3,258$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.3827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,050$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.991070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes21c2,643$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes12c2,600$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105334%18 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5754860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c2,094$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No77c2,077$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.514249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes4c2,053$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.111250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No77c2,016$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.624040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c1,957$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes24c1,660$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes16c1,581$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.265448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…d421backed Yes13c1,454$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes20c1,372$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.410038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes19c1,304$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7736630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes20c1,288$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.586428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes23c1,274$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes20c1,201$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4713155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes10c1,027$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No76c999.98$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Yes20c999.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes11c953.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8224238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes22c910$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes22c891.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c786.06$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.797055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes22c722.86$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes21c599.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12813040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes20c580$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No80c578.7$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.746349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes21c570$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes23c517.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes18c500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937a…dbc8backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No77c499.98$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Yes8c499.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…1aa1backed Yes6c484.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes21c478.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Yes22c455$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1be…7830backed Yes22c453.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c439.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.519826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c420$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c420$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c419.74$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes9c412.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…105fbacked Yes23c380.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No77c369.37$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9611146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes21c365.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes21c350.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No77c330$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.915847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c330$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes22c329.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.014447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6913550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6912253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes7c299.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes6c291.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff15…1d20backed Yes22c286.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No77c280$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb1…b7f8backed Yes8c276.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes23c270.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.284535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes21c259.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.438644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes22c251$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2216046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.