Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2ce4c67fb90b8ef4f14e96d3af20fc97f64898ccefcc289296867f8aed966f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,655$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 1,828$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 22c | 1,675$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.57 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 1,204$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,178$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 816$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 637.2$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 501.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 401.24$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 279$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 13c | 140.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3d…18a9backed No | 79c | 117.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 70.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 56.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 54.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 50.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Yes | 25c | 48.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 77c | 47.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked No | 79c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 78c | 20.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…4aa1backed No | 79c | 16.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.