Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f8ed6b191aeb9a83eb4e2f3752e436758cc9df440dfe581b3f933a28b33158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 72c | 9,201$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 5,018$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.05 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 72c | 3,313$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 2,038$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,529$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,321$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 1,207$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,118$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,106$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 72c | 999.87$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 909.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 813.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 4c | 752.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 21c | 737.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 568.01$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 29c | 562.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 72c | 544.38$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 517.96$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 367.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3c10backed Yes | 29c | 346.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 6c | 338$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 308.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 303.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 72c | 248.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 129.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1b20backed No | 72c | 120.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 112.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…e6fbbacked No | 72c | 111.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0384backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 28c | 81.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…f860backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 45.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed No | 72c | 38.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 76c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-16?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.