TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c32,941$21,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,606.1123633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes65c18,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3004250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No35c14,321$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,012.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked No36c10,575$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c8,942$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.021,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Yes64c5,893$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…6d87backed No35c5,798$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c5,033$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.41,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Yes64c4,682$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No36c4,047$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.842528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c4,040$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.575,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No36c3,937$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.43636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c3,680$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.052,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No34c3,144$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.9362652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No35c1,521$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No21c1,052$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.693534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed No31c799.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2484055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes61c792$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.887263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c717.3$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1779435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No34c635.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8662349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes66c607.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.325850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes76c480.82$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.936546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…27febacked Yes80c420.53$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No35c387.78$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.722835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No24c366.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.159141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Yes80c348.33$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.672857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes65c345$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.758046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6e…c807backed Yes80c338.75$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No7c337$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5920132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Yes79c333$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No19c296.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.197945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No31c273.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No36c243$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.481450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No16c201.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.291513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed No11c199.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c173.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.827540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471d…cd8fbacked Yes63c158.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Yes64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859269.6%64 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.515035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c150$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7529917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No35c148.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8813821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes65c144.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No36c138.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes64c122.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked No16c122.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.194358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes65c101.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.543770.3%26 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…58b9backed No20c95.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes65c93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c87.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6911059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No24c77.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4430750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes65c76.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.534052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Yes64c67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Yes64c57.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes79c56.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.935036%18 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes62c55.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes63c39.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf5…5948backed No33c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked No36c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282d…8a32backed Yes79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c17…ee47backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Yes63c26.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.982171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.952360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4419048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes65c16.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+81.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7862…46abbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed Yes80c14.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3753…8a21backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.