Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247215292eb82144812496f8f04c8b1e4c0bf84bb565eb9902a07a7aed66b829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,449,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,463,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,449,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 59c | 219,904$129,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,359.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 41c | 177,500$72,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,775 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 60c | 124,967$74,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,986.69 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 102,532$42,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,214.19 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 59c | 65,576$38,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,199.81 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed No | 60c | 59,313$35,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,857.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 55,239$32,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,641.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 50,877$20,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,936.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 59c | 50,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,599.86 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 49,314$28,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,347.86 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 59c | 45,023$26,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,656.9 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 44,544$25,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,719.04 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 40c | 43,935$17,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,574 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 59c | 37,830$22,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,510.37 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 43c | 30,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 28,194$17,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 27,999$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.83 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 41c | 27,000$11,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,070 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 26,155$15,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780.97 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Yes | 40c | 25,294$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 41c | 25,263$10,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,357.86 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 59c | 24,400$14,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 41c | 22,073$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…cf66backed Yes | 39c | 21,081$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 58c | 19,731$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 58c | 18,594$10,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,888.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 42c | 14,007$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 13,665$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.39 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed No | 59c | 13,000$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…bc66backed Yes | 42c | 12,480$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.93 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 42c | 10,699$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 61c | 10,361$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.23 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 58c | 10,319$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 58c | 10,211$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.6 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 61c | 10,029$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.33 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 9,500$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 40c | 9,429$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 59c | 9,000$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 43c | 8,041$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 60c | 8,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 58c | 7,756$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.13 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 59c | 7,622$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 40c | 7,337$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 41c | 6,689$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 59c | 6,000$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 6,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.97 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 74c | 5,476$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.6 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…ae53backed Yes | 41c | 5,150$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 41c | 5,060$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 5,050$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 42c | 4,800$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 58c | 4,780$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 41c | 4,755$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.73 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 59c | 4,240$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 74c | 3,781$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.85 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,750$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,713$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 58c | 3,555$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 59c | 3,408$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 59c | 3,224$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 41c | 3,139$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.09 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 41c | 3,137$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.66 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.94 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 42c | 2,976$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…19d9backed Yes | 41c | 2,917$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,905$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 59c | 2,832$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.08 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 33c | 2,771$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.96 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 33c | 2,743$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.25 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 40c | 2,705$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.46 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,634$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…4568backed Yes | 40c | 2,530$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.97 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 2,472$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.22 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…d964backed Yes | 41c | 2,449$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 38c | 2,439$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.4 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 13c | 2,436$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 58c | 2,398$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,377$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.