Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23541f7091c64546cc84355f76f3967bb331e09cd203abd7057d4208dcc97f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb855…90b2backed No | 74c | 15,924$11,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 13,358$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 11,469$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 5,167$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.63 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 3,159$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.05 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 16c | 3,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,577$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.76 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,321$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…8066backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.77 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 73c | 1,347$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,336$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 54c | 934.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.26 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 18c | 933$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 851.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 829$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 30c | 712$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 28c | 653.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 31c | 625$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 70c | 619.09$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 26c | 475.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 471$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 76c | 444.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 28c | 414.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 52c | 412$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.05 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 50c | 396.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 70c | 389.96$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 387$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 317.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Yes | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 26c | 254.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 19c | 252.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 229.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 225.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 67c | 206.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 37c | 199$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…b7f5backed No | 15c | 198$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 33c | 141$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 138.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed No | 47c | 117.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 30c | 117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 75c | 116.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 115.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…d61fbacked Yes | 17c | 102.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d35bbacked No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 19c | 72.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…f7dbbacked No | 69c | 72.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 69c | 71.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8a11backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 60.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 70c | 60.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 69c | 59.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 27c | 58.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…cf04backed No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…1cc0backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 29c | 51.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 51.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…dac8backed Yes | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 24c | 49.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…5d17backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…0fd2backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 39.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Yes | 28c | 36.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.