TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No33c5,683$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.51,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes16c2,905$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.7111964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c2,019$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.3968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3409556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c1,681$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.0931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes33c1,520$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.45747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes36c1,205$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.3334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c1,099$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c1,000$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No69c999.97$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.983271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c998$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.6498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c959.61$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c790.58$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No47c624.71$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5217529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c487.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.887830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No12c482.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No67c439.38$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No63c390.2$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No59c302$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2076731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c294.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No67c283.36$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No71c265.01$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.114656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes67c264$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes65c261$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1514549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes32c249.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c241$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes33c228$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.766428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes9c225.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.561118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes9c211.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.512946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c210.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes10c207$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1871764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No77c202$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.093060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c201$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes32c198.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes71c156.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.421764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c145.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked No8c134.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.727412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No26c107.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes70c104.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.192263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa45…0339backed Yes31c103.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfa…5f7cbacked Yes28c101.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf190…255fbacked No69c101$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27b8…8d54backed Yes59c98.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0723353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No65c86.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6119…d7fabacked No39c77.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes66c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.632250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed No49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.571822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No55c65.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.914146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06b…d793backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Yes62c64.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No65c63.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9911144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes75c58.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d10…fc1abacked Yes32c53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes33c51.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed No67c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.496056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe28e…4579backed Yes32c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c47.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c46.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92dc…1e05backed No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes73c42.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…28abbacked Yes68c40.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No74c40.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked No59c40.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes31c37.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Yes32c36.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.112138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed No46c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No68c24.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63171%22 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b8…bbb2backed Yes60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb789…1eccbacked Yes72c17.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed No70c17.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.