Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9406fd863851e24a091ed0d214a9b84593b6b662853da1c073a0b4a9f7a31b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 18,990$11,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,833.66 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 13,489$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…38bebacked Yes | 45c | 11,024$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 9,377$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.13 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 7,892$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.8 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 6,624$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.71 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 5,881$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 46c | 5,440$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 5,424$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.12 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.91 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 36c | 4,909$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 43c | 4,613$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 50c | 4,472$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.26 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…178abacked Yes | 38c | 3,258$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 57c | 3,203$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 37c | 2,955$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 44c | 2,503$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.34 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 2,378$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 60c | 2,339$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.62 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.36 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 39c | 2,153$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.52 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 32c | 1,828$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 28c | 1,817$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 59c | 1,785$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 38c | 1,513$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…8dc7backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6b…7fcbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,303$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 39c | 1,271$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed No | 61c | 1,261$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 30c | 1,116$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 53c | 1,040$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 40c | 955.76$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.23 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 859.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 62c | 802.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 53c | 736.07$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 39c | 712$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 706.95$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 45c | 700.22$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.1 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 62c | 699.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 681.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.71 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 629.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 624.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 42c | 622.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 61c | 521.74$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 519.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 39c | 510.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 498.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…92a9backed Yes | 39c | 470.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 45c | 456.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Yes | 42c | 455.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 62c | 447.35$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Yes | 43c | 431.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Yes | 47c | 420.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 50c | 418.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 62c | 378.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 50c | 345.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 56c | 341.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 337.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 38c | 304$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…39bdbacked Yes | 49c | 290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 53c | 283.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 272.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 39c | 266.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 62c | 265.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 253.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 26c | 243.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 38c | 204.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 41c | 203.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?No won
- Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.