South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be4305d706a50e063ffd577e04fb2580cd1fcbb0eac06e8df7692e08b8859da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,115$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 41c | 543.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 48c | 531$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 72c | 476$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 71c | 439.48$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 429.78$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Under | 40c | 363.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 66c | 349.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 289.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 237.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 206.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 154.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 134.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 90.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5446backed Under | 62c | 72.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 70c | 49.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Under | 44c | 32.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 62c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over | 59c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 59c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 60c | 18.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 75c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.