TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,826 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under54c261,437$141,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,007.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c182,401$85,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,672.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under53c53,383$28,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,292.993333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over46c50,046$23,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,024.842055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over74c23,167$17,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.1616543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c22,040$10,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,901.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over48c16,280$7,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,465.389649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over47c13,109$6,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.721,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c3,752$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.392,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over46c3,578$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.629747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over47c3,333$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under51c2,522$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.374544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c2,034$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.948,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c1,543$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,312$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.173,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over35c1,250$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7612828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over47c1,090$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c978.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.265354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over38c881.58$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.5821839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over44c856.52$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9423542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c763$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3918742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over41c730$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over41c673$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.035944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over37c504.8$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9628443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over27c369.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.346622.7%15 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c328.19$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3817946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4acb…c112backed Over49c289$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over48c255$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.453759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Over44c244.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+74.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Over48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over35c198.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.241,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Under60c193.15$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.711973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over51c188.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6518160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over37c186.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9713833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ed…9ef4backed Under51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over54c154.54$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5921251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…76cfbacked Under54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under67c123.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.716056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3f…3297backed Under51c114$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c33…d620backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under18c102.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.948655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over30c100.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.372934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under53c93.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over46c87.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0213050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.8wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+87.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3335958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over32c77.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.864740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over47c74.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under62c63.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.918248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c62.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under70c54.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over38c52.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.394259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0244939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…f5bfbacked Under69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.582,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Over32c40.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Under53c34.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Under60c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Under71c32.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over48c32.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8220953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over48c32.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.693663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under69c31.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.762462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed Under50c30.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.610033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over48c28.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.579936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Over48c25.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.884946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Over49c21.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.753351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e7d8backed Under61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8213…cc85backed Under53c19.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd23…f7eabacked Under70c17.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3370%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.