Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d4558e675be6ff6c54642320988643cd6b90eb744d2a4864fa30edb86d4a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,039,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,299,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,039,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 111,228$42,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,207.14 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 106,701$66,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,675.06 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 61c | 72,492$44,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,271.69 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 62c | 64,230$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,230.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 44,536$17,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,608.52 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 42,430$18,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,157.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 40c | 41,702$16,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,480.9 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 38c | 40,531$15,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,416.79 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 39,138$15,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,091.3 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 33,384$20,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,827.79 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.94 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 25,319$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 54c | 22,222$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 39c | 18,888$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 50c | 18,642$9,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,260.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 62c | 15,860$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 13,497$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.42 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 13,423$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.74 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 35c | 13,383$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 37c | 13,000$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 38c | 12,614$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 60c | 8,179$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 48c | 7,160$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.18 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 39c | 6,123$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 49c | 6,032$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 64c | 5,830$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 61c | 5,814$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 55c | 5,587$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 48c | 5,510$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 62c | 5,371$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 58c | 5,136$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.21 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…637abacked No | 38c | 4,740$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 38c | 4,109$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 38c | 3,914$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 64c | 3,908$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,883$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 62c | 3,566$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.48 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,361$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 38c | 3,261$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 55c | 3,145$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.75 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 49c | 3,058$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 42c | 2,599$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 64c | 2,599$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.56 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 62c | 2,560$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Yes | 61c | 2,487$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 63c | 2,393$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 2,185$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.65 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 30c | 2,155$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed No | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 31c | 2,052$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 63c | 1,793$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 62c | 1,629$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.85 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 61c | 1,621$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.24 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed Yes | 47c | 1,608$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 1,607$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.3 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 52c | 1,577$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.96 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 79c | 1,526$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.54 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 56c | 1,431$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.45 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 40c | 1,385$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,377$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 1,326$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.87 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 38c | 1,291$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 61c | 1,282$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.02 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,078$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 36c | 1,058$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 58c | 995.49$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…785abacked Yes | 61c | 976.56$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 60c | 877.31$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.66 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…8fbfbacked Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 58c | 859.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 40c | 843.21$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.