Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b4ead7bd0737ce0cd91a729be3db1c04df8253af78654991a0be396ea9e593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 0c | 33,663$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 17,043$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 75c | 14,801$11,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.19 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 75c | 13,733$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.28 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 41c | 6,066$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 73c | 5,714$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.78 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 71c | 4,872$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 3,160$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.7 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,249$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 2,194$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,231$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 1,038$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 40c | 1,026$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 75c | 903.14$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 76c | 897.02$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 76c | 801.57$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 750.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 724.67$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.52 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 24c | 558.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 25c | 540.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 9c | 499.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 460.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 74c | 405.66$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 70c | 397.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 393.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…a7ffbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 24c | 338.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 331$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 276.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 248$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 237$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 234.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked No | 76c | 233.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 75c | 198.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 132.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 18c | 89.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 25c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…babbbacked Yes | 25c | 73.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 23c | 68.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 68.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked No | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…ba76backed Yes | 24c | 42.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 39.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 32c | 31.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…4e88backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…5e2ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 75c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.