Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ecbc74f962a9f0225502393592cb566760f5dfa7671cf3d77c6f1dde60bb53d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 63c | 4,234$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,613$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 1,466$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 1,377$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,264$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 63c | 1,160$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.13 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed No | 63c | 848.81$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 63c | 823.3$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 821.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 634.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 507$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 452.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 428$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 361.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 304.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 258.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 233.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 38c | 198.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 162.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 28c | 162$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 32c | 124.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 59c | 113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 111$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 70c | 98.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 37c | 80.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 65c | 79.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 63c | 79.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Yes | 39c | 77.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…5e0dbacked No | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…31d8backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 63c | 43.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 33c | 38.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…4bc6backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 39c | 37.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 37c | 35.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 73c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 37c | 34.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 62c | 30.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 63c | 28.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 38c | 26.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.