TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c7,796$4,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,572.917,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No51c5,010$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20019445.9%89 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes53c2,838$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.996563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes54c2,796$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes38c2,610$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c2,441$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.181,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No55c2,100$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.9749046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c1,460$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.722,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c1,375$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8429742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No46c1,267$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.933452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Yes46c1,257$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.79988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+85.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No5c1,237$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3313330.1%40 W · 93 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c1,017$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6139637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c963.55$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.061,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c926.34$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.092,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c751.54$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.832,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No34c739.19$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8213432.1%43 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No63c663.49$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4181464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e2…02b0backed Yes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes51c543.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.544344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes43c524$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.825850%29 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes43c516.78$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c504.97$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.925,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No6c457.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes42c443.1$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.853452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes39c369.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.648432.1%27 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes34c319.77$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7711839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes50c301.34$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.671070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes46c284.57$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.671464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+48.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7814137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No49c269.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0211136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes39c238.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6794043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c233.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3336647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No23c200.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.689325.8%24 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d3…5255backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+253.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Yes37c191.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea0…8f49backed Yes51c167.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No65c153.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes37c135.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.164025%10 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes46c128.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+100.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No48c126.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No24c115.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.259855.5%332 W · 266 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes45c109.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.547926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes37c108.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.244141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.269447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6716725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No55c98.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.459639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0410236.3%37 W · 65 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…bb75backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5470…accfbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes23c88.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.017926.6%21 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes38c84.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.215844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No58c84.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.11,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.612552%65 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed No25c75.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.031643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes37c74.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.79638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes43c60.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.181,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda8c…47eabacked Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309226.1%24 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e9…c178backed Yes37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes28c56.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed No63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe871…10f0backed Yes52c53.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes34c53.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…a319backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No51c45.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.097444.6%33 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…ad8dbacked No60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes44c40.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.648148.1%39 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2293845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c39.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes38c39.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…503bbacked Yes46c39.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbf…1043backed Yes50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes49c35.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1985340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afa…3a31backed Yes43c35.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes41c33.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes42c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Yes50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24872.9%35 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143250%16 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes41c26.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.726442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No54c25.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.814360.8%87 W · 56 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.