Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb623667ac3d24a7e92b08c8ec5b5e51a79bbba15f68e254a2c1fdf91ee4ce3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,815$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 21c | 3,619$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 66c | 1,201$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 913.55$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 763.98$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 445.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 18c | 418.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…34d9backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 278.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 238.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 206.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 188.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 116.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 110.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 79c | 88.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 47c | 85.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 27c | 43.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 44c | 27.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.