Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8721e95425e669a70c4cbb13cafecb3832439cb12edfff99ad34585f3e1c2821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 27c | 18,652$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 10,191$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 4,976$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,968$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 73c | 1,848$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.61 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 37c | 962.89$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 784$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 743.99$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 694.79$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 532.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 351.95$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 234.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 219.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 20c | 212.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…7cfdbacked Yes | 30c | 163.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 139$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 73c | 137.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 21c | 116.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 26c | 101.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 76c | 85.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 30c | 82.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 18c | 82.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…ad8dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 25c | 66.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 74c | 48.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed No | 78c | 35.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 63c | 35.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 71c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 72c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.