Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31eb65dc8e2a71a0a4eb4ede4113c67c6e7f173d3ce1efa12314ff4bdcfc8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 3,129$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 3,069$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.79 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 73c | 2,284$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 62c | 2,017$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 1,768$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.38 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,518$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,258$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.8 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 1,149$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.65 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 788.57$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 69c | 778.26$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 775.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 702.19$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.69 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 13c | 593.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 69c | 550.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 451.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 71c | 424.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 289$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 274.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes | 76c | 263.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Yes | 79c | 247.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 245.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 15c | 184.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 80c | 150.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 62c | 138.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed No | 26c | 85.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 84.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 63c | 53.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 76c | 42.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 34c | 34.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a4…e909backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0025…644cbacked Yes | 69c | 24.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 24.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 69c | 24.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 68c | 23.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 68c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.