Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f8db7f22cbe6631af0e17d88709cc8bc2ca31c12bec817314a53e134bd12d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 8,181$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,939$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 1,207$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 58c | 688.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.31 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 46c | 652.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 371.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 46c | 344.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 249.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 196.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 53c | 187.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 111.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 55c | 75.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 53c | 56.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 47.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 39.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…c624backed Yes | 41c | 35.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…224cbacked Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.