TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c79,718$36,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,557.821,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed No55c30,503$16,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,776.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c27,934$15,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,084.42,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Yes45c27,460$12,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,102.951770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes45c25,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,75031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.936142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No55c17,593$9,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,676.1927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No58c17,272$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes44c16,582$7,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,274.3521853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377e…a010backed No56c13,412$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,51120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c12,814$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.953540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No54c9,491$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.113748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c9,342$5,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,045.361,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes46c8,532$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.2912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes48c8,397$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.149446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes45c7,796$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes45c6,147$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.3811945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No57c6,109$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…eaa7backed No54c6,022$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes45c5,089$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.823450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No55c5,000$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.311346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c4,923$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.024,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.443333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No62c4,148$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.5313829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No56c4,147$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.0910737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c3,697$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.2248150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No55c3,629$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.144751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes46c3,616$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.89845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No55c3,089$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.8635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No53c2,982$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.856046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes45c2,880$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.771,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes45c2,859$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed No55c2,746$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb12…1a18backed Yes48c2,689$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd8…ec3bbacked No52c2,689$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…1505backed No52c2,561$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe411…f21abacked Yes48c2,556$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.691560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes45c2,471$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.0545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b03…c8f6backed Yes48c2,418$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc1…6249backed No52c2,407$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.95633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+106.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4c…0e20backed No53c2,284$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc0…7277backed Yes47c2,277$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes47c2,229$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.048343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.112241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes45c2,202$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.917841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No60c2,163$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8110…7edbbacked No52c2,110$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78eb…88e9backed Yes48c2,078$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a3…b41fbacked Yes48c2,046$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe917…3250backed No52c2,020$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes46c1,933$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.748747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked No55c1,748$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No54c1,536$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.775754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0883…f9cbbacked Yes49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No53c1,340$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No55c1,300$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No52c1,235$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.2610956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked Yes46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes44c1,200$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No55c1,177$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.055646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c1,103$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No53c1,058$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2449…75a4backed Yes44c1,015$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.57933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dff…b486backed Yes48c999.95$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes44c916$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.093046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No18c882.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No55c777$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.872740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c748$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.621,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dd…67c8backed No51c698.15$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes45c670$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.514943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6717748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.172356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No56c640$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.43250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes47c639.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.195339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.33240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31829427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No38c576.33$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7125530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes45c571.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.128155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes46c500.01$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5118551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed No56c473.21$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No22c456.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.