TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Atlanta Dream, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff12…09f9backed Indiana Fever80c25,381$20,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Indiana Fever53c19,594$10,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,214.5510749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Atlanta Dream40c17,650$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream16c17,258$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.4734826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Atlanta Dream44c16,794$7,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,447837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Indiana Fever70c12,901$9,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.5110463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Atlanta Dream15c11,666$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.539318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana Fever49c10,304$5,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.9314450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Indiana Fever50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00016152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream42c8,585$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.041,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Atlanta Dream5c8,188$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream48c8,061$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.2941051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Indiana Fever62c8,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0649…2dd7backed Atlanta Dream49c7,664$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Indiana Fever50c6,954$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.2710151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever58c6,724$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.491,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Atlanta Dream51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5505945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Indiana Fever49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.994766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Atlanta Dream51c4,761$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.074450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Indiana Fever51c4,333$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.1627949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Dream0c4,270$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Indiana Fever50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0504535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Indiana Fever51c4,037$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.4423245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream2c4,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.545415.6%71 W · 383 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Dream48c3,750$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.996154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream40c3,732$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.0985158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Indiana Fever69c3,726$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.091560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbae4…50febacked Atlanta Dream51c3,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-82%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Atlanta Dream32c3,130$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.197259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Indiana Fever49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Indiana Fever66c3,035$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.048762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Atlanta Dream49c2,653$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3004963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream31c2,440$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.341,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream8c2,340$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9931443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Atlanta Dream44c2,298$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Atlanta Dream38c2,274$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Atlanta Dream38c2,200$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Indiana Fever51c2,200$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06814060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Atlanta Dream47c1,902$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Atlanta Dream5c1,840$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Indiana Fever77c1,822$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Indiana Fever52c1,800$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8649751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever74c1,768$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7479648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Indiana Fever51c1,758$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.012951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atlanta Dream34c1,715$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3415351%78 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Atlanta Dream19c1,631$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.945538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Atlanta Dream49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7848551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Atlanta Dream23c1,280$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Atlanta Dream2c1,275$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.623234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Atlanta Dream12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013124.4%32 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Indiana Fever65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Atlanta Dream50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28fb…5e15backed Indiana Fever50c1,156$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Indiana Fever60c1,149$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Dream21c1,143$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.219628.6%56 W · 140 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Indiana Fever71c1,107$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.664365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Atlanta Dream49c1,102$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Indiana Fever52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9edf…c034backed Atlanta Dream48c1,059$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Atlanta Dream47c1,057$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.684652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Dream22c1,055$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.121546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever69c1,024$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9256455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Dream49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Atlanta Dream47c1,003$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.544967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Atlanta Dream49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4909642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Indiana Fever75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Atlanta Dream50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Indiana Fever52c961.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.518146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Indiana Fever54c960.84$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.995862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Atlanta Dream5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Atlanta Dream32c827.08$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x293b…15e1backed Atlanta Dream51c820$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Indiana Fever78c797.42$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.541758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream47c768.13$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0247246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Indiana Fever47c765.96$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.966237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Indiana Fever79c761.79$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Indiana Fever52c710.38$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Dream21c700.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.749129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Fever60c664.31$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2638744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Indiana Fever49c662$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.625141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Atlanta Dream43c633.38$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5113844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Atlanta Dream51c580.43$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.029549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Dream33c563.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5236950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Atlanta Dream24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Atlanta Dream10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Atlanta Dream3c499.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream45c497.05$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6751147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Dream19c480.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2419142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Atlanta Dream47c479$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Atlanta Dream7c455.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91918.8%8 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Atlanta Dream47c442.74$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.16051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Indiana Fever69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Indiana Fever51c433.33$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.337236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb3…c801backed Atlanta Dream7c422.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Atlanta Dream24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Atlanta Dream50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010348.5%50 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Atlanta Dream34c400$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Atlanta Dream49c399.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever50c399.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9965751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6223467.5%158 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.