WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacedecfc7ad83c361672be8c57e910f0d0c8ab46d1a7e6eeb8111a76bb48be21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 6,936$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.51 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 3,209$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.71 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 2,310$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,000$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.34 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,870$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.44 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 1,185$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.32 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 995.22$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 970.65$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 27c | 727.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 519$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Atlanta Dream | 14c | 493.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 334.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.03 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream | 13c | 276.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 210.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Indiana Fever | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 118.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 110.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 101.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 95.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 91.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Atlanta Dream | 36c | 71.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 33c | 68.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 63.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 44.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 39.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 34.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 31.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…25b2backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.