WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18d25d717ff78b1ce68483c968c1550f4ca081623e35869b08a8a29a96b95f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 13,026$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.06 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 9,289$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.88 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 8,911$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.44 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 8,792$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 6,984$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.32 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 48c | 6,456$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.98 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 4,026$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.28 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 3,528$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 1,788$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.92 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 943.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 758.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 625.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 24c | 611.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 439.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 53c | 437.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 349.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Over | 49c | 250.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 239.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…8d0abacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 156.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…94cdbacked Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Over | 17c | 73.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 17c | 67.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 54c | 64.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed Over | 47c | 57.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 79c | 56.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 55.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 25c | 55.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 24c | 54.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 41.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 40.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Under | 54c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…25b2backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 48c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 78c | 22.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Under | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 19.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.