WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec019f47b12eb55787918d288df03f0536f73cc8f10fe549cedcad44c6f7a4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 1,941$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.41 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,652$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 1,532$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 56c | 1,000$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 972.95$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 549.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.52 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 46c | 408.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 50c | 402.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Over | 55c | 338.55$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 64c | 226.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 127.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 58c | 101.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 54c | 62.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 53c | 57.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 44c | 42.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 53c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 45c | 32.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 40c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 59c | 28.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.