NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da7a99ba596fb6b3c8498c3dd8826b0e47f7af425f5b5581bbac6a8ad7ac0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Knicks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 49c | 177,052$86,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,549.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 51c | 107,694$54,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,969.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 102,198$51,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,385.23 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Knicks | 50c | 49,534$24,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,834.49 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 52c | 23,619$12,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,358.54 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 53c | 20,188$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,550.1 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 49c | 12,085$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.59 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 51c | 8,695$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.41 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 47c | 8,510$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.7 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Knicks | 50c | 8,153$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.63 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 44c | 6,627$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,267$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.97 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,629$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,111$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.61 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Knicks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Knicks | 49c | 2,400$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.98 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Knicks | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 49c | 1,410$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,366$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.61 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,094$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Knicks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…93eebacked Knicks | 2c | 920.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Knicks | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Knicks | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pelicans | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 50c | 599.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Knicks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pelicans | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 50c | 429.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Knicks | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…0319backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…b8f8backed Knicks | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Pelicans | 50c | 324$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Knicks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Pelicans | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Knicks | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Knicks | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 52c | 235.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Knicks | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 177.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Knicks | 50c | 171.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Knicks | 50c | 164$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Knicks | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Knicks | 51c | 151.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Knicks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 48c | 137$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 50c | 131.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 102.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Knicks | 52c | 83.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Knicks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 50c | 78.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Pelicans | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Knicks | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Knicks | 49c | 62.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Knicks | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Knicks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…b73abacked Pelicans | 51c | 48.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Knicks | 25c | 41.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Knicks | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Knicks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Knicks | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Knicks | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…5dd7backed Pelicans | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)this page
- Knicks vs. PelicansKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 246.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.