NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef91c238970c9dd061fc030d777242397176710a2e9f41bdd9e43641cca37e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 52c | 21,165$11,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,162.19 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 43c | 6,625$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.65 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,147$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.03 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked Under | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 1,569$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 48c | 1,502$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 47c | 1,437$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.39 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Under | 48c | 1,374$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 54c | 1,305$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.16 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 1,031$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 593$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 316$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 244$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 48c | 209.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 42c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 121.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…3518backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 97.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 85.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Under | 43c | 48.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Under | 43c | 40.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Under | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5this page
- Knicks vs. PelicansKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 246.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.