TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Knicks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Knicks44c80,000$35,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,195.768037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pelicans56c68,623$38,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,194.1526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans55c3,790$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans56c3,449$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Pelicans56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans56c991$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans57c730.63$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5720352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Pelicans56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans59c340$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pelicans56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans57c230.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans54c197.02$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6666046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Pelicans59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.498453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans54c123.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.813,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Pelicans58c117$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.147651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Pelicans56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Pelicans58c88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.966454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7561056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Pelicans56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Pelicans56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Knicks47c63.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Pelicans56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans53c54.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Pelicans56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Pelicans59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8525056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans57c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Pelicans56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans54c37.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.132,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8423753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8422048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8423850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8425250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8427353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8427150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Pelicans57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4812545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Knicks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Knicks42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Knicks42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Knicks42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Pelicans56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.568755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Pelicans58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.084245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Pelicans56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.246346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Pelicans58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9214648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9210751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9213155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9211741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.926552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9226040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9215953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9210646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Pelicans56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9225150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.