NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1197c4d036dea223ab7788475c903c33d67ffcfe28e4c315df09c9a6ff13e1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Knicks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Knicks | 48c | 100,000$47,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,767.22 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pelicans | 52c | 80,034$41,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,416.39 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 54c | 7,345$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pelicans | 56c | 6,465$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.89 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 53c | 6,074$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.79 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 45c | 5,537$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.16 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks | 47c | 4,690$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.23 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…85e7backed Knicks | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,043$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Knicks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 52c | 996$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 991$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Pelicans | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 44c | 445.01$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 53c | 235$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 45c | 209.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks | 49c | 150.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 51c | 125.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Pelicans | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…43dcbacked Pelicans | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Pelicans | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pelicans | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pelicans | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Pelicans | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Knicks | 46c | 80.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Pelicans | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Pelicans | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 51c | 61.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Pelicans | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Pelicans | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…cba7backed Knicks | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…e5bbbacked Knicks | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Pelicans | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 46c | 46.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Pelicans | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Pelicans | 68c | 43.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Knicks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pelicans | 71c | 41.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Pelicans | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks | 45c | 36.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Pelicans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Pelicans | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Pelicans | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Knicks | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Knicks | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Knicks | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Pelicans | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- Knicks vs. PelicansKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 246.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.