NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c59dca59bec60259983c9ed7542d49a50efd843e454bba2b93af6fbfb28ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9ac…9a83backed Yes | 34c | 14,868$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…6a41backed Yes | 22c | 10,800$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…7febbacked No | 78c | 10,800$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 8,645$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 6,332$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 72c | 6,176$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.38 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79f9…3092backed Yes | 27c | 5,778$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,546$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 61c | 5,506$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.26 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 8c | 5,055$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.89 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…a39fbacked Yes | 33c | 4,755$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…2f47backed Yes | 24c | 4,720$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 1c | 4,454$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 13c | 4,172$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,539$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 3,090$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…cc54backed Yes | 2c | 2,868$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 80c | 2,675$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e63…5168backed Yes | 40c | 2,623$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,077$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,994$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,829$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,743$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 75c | 1,718$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.94 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0a23backed Yes | 29c | 1,698$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…8922backed Yes | 32c | 1,416$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 1,341$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,309$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +250.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…e046backed Yes | 2c | 1,211$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,201$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,137$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…c6d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,126$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Yes | 3c | 1,123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,099$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,075$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 1,055$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,052$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…824ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,033$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 11c | 950$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 938.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 12c | 854$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 67c | 843.46$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…1d63backed Yes | 27c | 750.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…0a98backed Yes | 2c | 696.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…efbebacked Yes | 2c | 661.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 14c | 625.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Yes | 30c | 624.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 77c | 618.32$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 6c | 604.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 71c | 565$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 78c | 542.26$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…ba8cbacked Yes | 18c | 542.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…769bbacked Yes | 9c | 535.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked No | 64c | 528.23$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 32c | 508.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 503.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…7efabacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…27e0backed Yes | 12c | 499.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 498.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 14c | 490.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…5258backed Yes | 3c | 487.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 3c | 481.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 27c | 418.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…973cbacked No | 73c | 413.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…451dbacked No | 66c | 412.12$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 29c | 402.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…60b4backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…ef61backed Yes | 5c | 391.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Yes | 27c | 374.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…db57backed Yes | 13c | 374.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 13c | 370.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 369.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 65c | 366.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…4143backed Yes | 28c | 357.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 355.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…e325backed Yes | 14c | 346.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…1d35backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…49a5backed Yes | 14c | 325.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 12c | 307.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 12c | 304$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 13c | 303$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…31d7backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Yes | 6c | 299.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…1ba7backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 13c | 280$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…2e59backed Yes | 36c | 277.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 269.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 12c | 257$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 12c | 252$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…739fbacked Yes | 15c | 248.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.