Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe559643119d8fa9a25d06036a55e45703475acca2c8d45e76ef4dace53023856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 67,595$43,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,478.7 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 37c | 40,700$15,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,064.62 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 62c | 40,430$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,429.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 37,250$13,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,277.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 38c | 37,037$14,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,073.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 36,567$13,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,903.16 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 68c | 32,398$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,397.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 40c | 31,427$12,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,570.8 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 61c | 30,506$18,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,897.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 29,142$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 18,872$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.68 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 63c | 13,168$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…085abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 33c | 9,353$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.57 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 61c | 9,016$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.39 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 35c | 6,274$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.56 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 69c | 5,820$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.36 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 38c | 4,856$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.09 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.45 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 35c | 4,181$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.7 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 36c | 3,522$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.5 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 33c | 3,006$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 63c | 2,814$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.29 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 67c | 2,587$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.87 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…536bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,034$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,924$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,843$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.9 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 61c | 1,536$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.36 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 13c | 1,500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 57c | 1,437$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 1,432$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 61c | 1,390$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…2193backed Yes | 80c | 1,274$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 33c | 1,271$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.61 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 1,205$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.83 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 34c | 1,011$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 64c | 967.7$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.37 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 37c | 957.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 19c | 936.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 59c | 777$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 39c | 773.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.85 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 740$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 63c | 712.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588a…aeebbacked No | 34c | 699.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 57c | 687.07$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 39c | 640.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Yes | 65c | 640$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 79c | 624.69$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 37c | 620$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 80c | 616.93$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes | 70c | 606.72$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 33c | 600.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed Yes | 71c | 562.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 66c | 520.89$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 61c | 513.04$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 58c | 512.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 67c | 511.93$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 61c | 493.07$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 67c | 490.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 66c | 445$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed No | 33c | 431.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 61c | 429.51$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 34c | 427.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 425.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Yes | 65c | 378.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 61c | 352.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 63c | 349.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 58c | 334.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8480backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 62c | 320.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 28c | 309.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.