TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$701,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3a…8679backed Jets56c158,720$89,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,211.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Senators46c137,990$63,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,514.455749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Senators44c92,686$40,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,931.4388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets48c75,000$35,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,749.8442552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets58c54,540$31,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,712.111,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets56c43,148$24,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,237.9238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Senators44c42,810$18,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,973.8110451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators45c42,776$19,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,526.668354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets54c19,581$10,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,623.7356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Senators46c18,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7202850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Senators52c11,898$6,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.443754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Senators45c10,538$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.6515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators43c10,220$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,825.42,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Senators46c8,025$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,358.4230152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators46c6,814$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.921,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators46c5,767$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.9579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jets54c5,555$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Senators31c5,516$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.832744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Senators46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Senators54c5,218$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Senators43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Senators43c4,597$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.5728652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Jets54c4,500$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.216241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Jets56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators48c3,377$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.4975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Jets3c3,300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Senators46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8911953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb934…530bbacked Jets54c3,204$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc446…0389backed Senators46c3,189$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jets54c3,081$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.7154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators41c2,974$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.292,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets54c2,817$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.651,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Jets55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Senators77c2,717$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jets55c2,626$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.691,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Senators43c2,467$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.1669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Senators9c2,350$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.2382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets47c2,252$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Senators46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Jets53c2,053$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.345248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jets54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0808845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Jets55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets53c1,818$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Senators46c1,767$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.398253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Jets54c1,760$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.441248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Jets3c1,700$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Senators46c1,677$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.3351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa0…5e06backed Senators47c1,650$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Senators13c1,565$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.884831.3%15 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe377…fc4bbacked Jets55c1,515$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Jets55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82525555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Senators46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets54c1,437$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.542,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Senators50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.0218840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Senators43c1,383$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.311,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets66c1,357$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.471,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators47c1,350$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.471,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Jets5c1,300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59248.3%2 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Jets53c1,071$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7724654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Senators44c1,000$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.251,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Jets52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Jets2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Jets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Senators46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Jets55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets54c1,000$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Jets55c909.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.074250%21 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Jets55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Jets54c850$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4592250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9397…ceb4backed Jets55c820.2$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961d…953dbacked Senators46c790$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fa…ec67backed Jets55c780$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets67c752.03$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.753,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jets55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.531848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators44c749.97$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.241,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d3d…543cbacked Senators46c730$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f1…5041backed Senators45c725$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…bac1backed Jets55c720$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Senators44c704$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c2…5f79backed Jets55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Senators43c697.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.637546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc9…0b56backed Senators46c680$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Senators45c628$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4629345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Jets56c621.43$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3485052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Jets54c602.85$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5411252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators39c584.24$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Senators45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5638555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jets18c555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.929412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.