NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2655ce234864754cae0d67125b2b064e6c281a132f7950056adc8b3db475f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Jets, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jets | 33c | 1,660$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 67c | 1,554$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Senators | 69c | 760.87$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets | 31c | 690.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets | 45c | 607$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 55c | 392.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Senators | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 69c | 152.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Jets | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Jets | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…1e29backed Senators | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jets | 31c | 88.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Jets | 31c | 56.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Jets | 33c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Senators | 66c | 50.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Jets | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…aefabacked Senators | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jets | 32c | 41.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Senators | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Senators | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Senators | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. JetsSenators won
- Senators vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.