NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b52d9991c5c5359412582c94a475d592168dd37ae6a8ec9a6b9e5bff0194cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,780,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,935,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,780,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Giants | 58c | 836,569$485,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485,209.75 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 42c | 530,645$222,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307,658.47 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Commanders | 42c | 211,622$88,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,740.77 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 22c | 196,689$42,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,973.14 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 77c | 51,020$39,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,910.31 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Giants | 58c | 50,878$29,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,509.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Commanders | 42c | 44,444$18,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,777.52 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Commanders | 43c | 40,234$17,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,933.27 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Commanders | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,199.83 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Giants | 57c | 39,825$22,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,700.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Giants | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.98 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 75c | 29,603$22,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.53 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Giants | 58c | 25,672$14,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,890 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Commanders | 42c | 23,500$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.95 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Commanders | 43c | 22,204$9,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,675.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 5c | 17,309$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.38 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Giants | 33c | 14,014$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Commanders | 43c | 13,531$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,712.67 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Commanders | 52c | 12,912$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.54 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Commanders | 42c | 12,830$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Commanders | 42c | 11,750$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.94 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 75c | 10,852$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giants | 12c | 10,156$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.49 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 2c | 10,049$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Commanders | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Giants | 28c | 9,271$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 56c | 9,000$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Commanders | 43c | 7,938$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.78 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giants | 14c | 7,636$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.76 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Giants | 0c | 6,610$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Commanders | 56c | 6,533$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.59 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 57c | 6,126$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.1 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Giants | 15c | 6,087$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Commanders | 70c | 6,008$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.11 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Commanders | 41c | 5,032$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.84 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Giants | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Commanders | 61c | 4,601$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.91 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Giants | 26c | 4,400$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.68 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Commanders | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Giants | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants | 4c | 3,947$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Commanders | 43c | 3,643$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.51 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Giants | 58c | 3,474$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.35 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Giants | 43c | 3,462$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.28 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Commanders | 67c | 3,205$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.16 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Commanders | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Commanders | 44c | 3,000$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.45 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Giants | 0c | 2,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…3661backed Giants | 54c | 2,796$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Commanders | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Giants | 25c | 2,768$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.69 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Giants | 58c | 2,759$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 58c | 2,758$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.64 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Giants | 20c | 2,743$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.03 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…b8e6backed Commanders | 60c | 2,500$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 42c | 2,459$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.84 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Giants | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Commanders | 43c | 2,395$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Commanders | 42c | 2,353$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.53 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Commanders | 69c | 2,352$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.31 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…cef3backed Commanders | 43c | 2,343$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…4f81backed Giants | 58c | 2,343$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Commanders | 68c | 2,338$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Commanders | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Commanders | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Giants | 58c | 2,109$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.41 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9df…6f94backed Commanders | 46c | 2,062$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Giants | 57c | 2,000$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.68 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Commanders | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Giants | 1c | 1,888$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Commanders | 42c | 1,853$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.45 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Commanders | 72c | 1,840$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Commanders | 42c | 1,738$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Commanders | 64c | 1,635$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Giants | 6c | 1,627$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…fb23backed Commanders | 46c | 1,626$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Commanders | 43c | 1,605$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Giants | 57c | 1,586$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.87 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Giants | 22c | 1,583$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Commanders | 42c | 1,544$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…d476backed Giants | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…236dbacked Giants | 54c | 1,385$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 41c | 1,365$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.86 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Commanders | 42c | 1,356$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c05…295bbacked Commanders | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…1732backed Commanders | 78c | 1,334$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…d9f1backed Commanders | 46c | 1,332$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Giants | 55c | 1,298$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Giants | 24c | 1,292$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…d48abacked Commanders | 46c | 1,248$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Commanders | 42c | 1,220$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…3150backed Giants | 54c | 1,211$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…e51dbacked Commanders | 46c | 1,197$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…d405backed Commanders | 46c | 1,197$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…f17bbacked Commanders | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Commanders | 43c | 1,148$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.16 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…163dbacked Commanders | 46c | 1,134$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…e481backed Giants | 54c | 1,114$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…56f3backed Commanders | 46c | 1,103$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Giantsthis page
- Commanders vs. Giants: 1H MoneylineCommanders won
- Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 45.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 46.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 47.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 50.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Commanders (-2.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Giants (-2.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.