TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,597,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,442,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,597,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes7c420,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4007433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d5…75e0backed Yes0c130,227$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1612633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes5c121,850$6,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,253.282,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes6c95,007$5,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,959.8824441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c81,000$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f3…ca08backed Yes0c78,306$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c66,264$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c59,512$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.6314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes0c43,320$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3219713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c42,792$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.921468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c36,364$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.882,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c35,393$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Yes6c34,286$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes6c33,305$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.0165835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes7c26,225$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.431529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes7c24,221$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.468627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes7c24,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6809642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Yes7c22,691$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes7c19,041$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.0738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes8c18,254$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes4c15,738$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes7c14,286$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…81d7backed Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes0c13,961$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9973626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes7c13,597$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.81277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c12,235$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes5c12,000$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid+40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes6c11,270$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.6533549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x132f…453bbacked Yes7c10,300$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217135.2%25 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.998325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes7c9,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9a…65d8backed Yes0c8,544$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20330%0 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed Yes5c8,449$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9513635.3%48 W · 88 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes0c7,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4260%0 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes1c7,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7321439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…879cbacked Yes1c6,610$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes7c6,220$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.420334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf58…5073backed Yes3c5,834$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca53…2dffbacked Yes7c5,357$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes2c5,173$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes3c5,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8214542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c5,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55cf…f038backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes0c4,996$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+78.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes6c4,400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes0c3,630$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.774214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes2c3,478$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7625719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e65…8443backed Yes1c3,400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c3,341$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.631,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77fa…1a63backed Yes1c3,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35820.7%12 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes5c3,119$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.791226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes5c3,100$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes1c3,077$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-88.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c2,516$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755f…f94abacked Yes2c2,352$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554515.6%7 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…b50cbacked Yes1c2,273$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534c…8de9backed Yes5c2,251$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.74825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb865…a77bbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200290%0 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes6c2,180$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.785117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505211.5%6 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes7c2,039$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013618.4%25 W · 111 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes1c2,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abf…a404backed Yes6c1,917$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c1,915$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.232,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes7c1,786$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes4c1,730$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.715729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes6c1,683$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110140.6%41 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Yes7c1,680$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.29522.1%21 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fb…7481backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-60.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6332backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004517.8%8 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f2…87e4backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fe…10c6backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002711.1%3 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f82…076fbacked Yes1c1,660$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7713…42e2backed Yes3c1,656$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53150%0 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes2c1,654$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…4798backed Yes3c1,574$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+102.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes1c1,551$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.246842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182f…d0e1backed Yes7c1,457$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a4…3d29backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe372…2d51backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6278…e828backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.