TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c35,752$15,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,724.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes66c35,000$23,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,099.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No34c30,623$10,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,211.211877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c28,020$17,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,982.5327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No35c16,227$5,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,469.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes67c13,457$9,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,014.712470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No40c8,134$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,871.2721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No39c7,898$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.8112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No36c6,126$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.066437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes16c5,689$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.825354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes65c5,521$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.782853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes61c5,264$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.297656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c5,061$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.4548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes50c5,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4805158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a9…afc3backed Yes25c4,853$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes65c4,620$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes16c4,500$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.996863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes67c3,838$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.371060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes66c3,568$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.582536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No35c3,408$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.5445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…3d88backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c2,736$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.1635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes65c2,502$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No44c2,483$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.2615550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c2,358$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2006…cc76backed Yes64c2,188$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed Yes66c2,116$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No32c2,004$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.9420143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c1,839$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c1,835$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.1996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes63c1,791$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.319154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes51c1,783$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes64c1,621$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.442661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes66c1,619$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.536046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c1,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No72c1,536$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.713655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes26c1,535$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No34c1,501$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick30cpaid+151.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed No36c1,250$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes65c1,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No54c1,182$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.274151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes8c1,143$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.815127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes64c1,125$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72013840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes67c1,064$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes66c988.81$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes10c980.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes3c945.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.373638.9%14 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+1,305.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes65c831.35$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes9c776.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No73c772.07$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.077100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes68c739.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes53c739.58$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No75c728.82$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.758457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes52c710.89$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2671…158dbacked Yes64c705.93$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes8c690.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3213639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No67c617.72$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes65c553.85$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc965…9948backed Yes63c515.77$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33520827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No34c499.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9711837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes65c481.75$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.351931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes58c470.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.893050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…4446backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No35c457.14$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed No35c451.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c440$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes61c410$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.12171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No33c401.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1912049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes45c397.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.210736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes64c346.88$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes64c325.72$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes66c322.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.75251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes66c303.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0a…85e3backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes67c302.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes31c293.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.863250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x748f…59d0backed No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.