TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No16c36,885$6,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No78c11,567$9,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,022.6221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c694backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c5,904$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.8328445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes14c5,521$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.431921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No58c5,088$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.934459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes42c5,050$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.885251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes13c4,445$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.0848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No39c4,205$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.4759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes14c3,611$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.0827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No70c3,575$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No33c3,339$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.6612050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No16c3,260$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9915550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c3,200$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.731,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c2,897$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.193417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No35c2,770$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.452828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed No20c1,919$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes66c1,587$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes13c1,566$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.2596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c1,500$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes13c1,500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3052958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes12c1,368$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.0420143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Yes69c1,302$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.571392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes64c1,009$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.784146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x525a…7038backed Yes11c999.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes64c934.93$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.938644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No23c882.2$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No25c856.87$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.824151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No62c807$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Yes12c796.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.772030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes11c741.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.8912923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes14c699.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.754825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed No48c669.17$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes77c559.74$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb134…af68backed Yes13c499.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes12c499.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes75c467.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes66c452.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.62889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c452$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes59c442.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.83046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No28c431.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.011675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes15c400$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c374.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No32c362.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes11c347.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6212049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c335.08$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6622373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Yes78c332.92$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No31c315.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.794717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes14c307.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes72c305.64$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes70c292.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.572568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes12c258$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9527226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes70c255.28$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.423554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.913658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes66c241.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes11c212.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No27c208.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.172536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes30c200.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No62c190$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.82070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes66c183.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.431136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No36c173$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.283447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No27c164.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.583658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed No66c152.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes66c151.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed No67c150.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes12c150$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.288620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes72c138.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7733…0223backed No17c132.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes15c130.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9515635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No26c130.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.438952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed No34c115.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No20c110.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.115127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked No27c102.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584520%9 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked No15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No34c97.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.172231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99ab…2286backed Yes62c96.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No28c94.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.388169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No18c74.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.453348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Yes72c67.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed No35c61.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.422429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes67c59.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.712259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b60…5593backed Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3313155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa25e…2483backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae04…7411backed Yes67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd4…c04dbacked No37c50.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.