TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Over33c17,068$5,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,511.0758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over64c11,075$7,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.2533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under70c10,689$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,489.747737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under36c7,690$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.422045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c5,261$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.791,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over66c3,213$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.8238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over64c2,814$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.044365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under68c2,534$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.263458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over64c2,120$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.1239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over35c2,116$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.6420947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over64c1,783$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.7738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c1,571$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.7260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.465552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over55c1,081$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.724461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over48c992.86$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.5621744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over36c764.84$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.776852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over28c714.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6821938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over42c704.75$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.84827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over46c676$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0729142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf2…6d2dbacked Under61c660.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c640.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.921,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under36c599.9$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.963946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under36c565$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb3a…5687backed Over64c521.27$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over37c520.03$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3508650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c480.56$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under36c426.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6523947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over61c426.08$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.238356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.221354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.216753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under58c413.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7821745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.835156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under36c330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under36c330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under38c319.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7513931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under8c284.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over51c277.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.442254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.864427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9046956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under37c249.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4911750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over46c249.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1515938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over64c223.08$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3113149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over46c219.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7310760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under36c212.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.548454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c206.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.88252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under36c190$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Over65c186.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.155851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.213352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.213548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.213751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under36c160$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c5…521dbacked Under25c156$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.341346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over64c141.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.051855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under36c140.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.211850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe127…fe33backed Over65c133.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under64c125.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over64c122.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.595872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.