Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eeb4ad686a38211707af0930900dc5870ededb7e107dff0f218fef6a7135e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,880$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.72 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 62c | 905.21$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 36c | 558.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 520.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 63c | 444.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 440.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.29 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 36c | 335.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb16…f925backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 35c | 290.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 62c | 232.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 38c | 182$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 162.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7fb5backed Yes | 64c | 156.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 55c | 116.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 39c | 102.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 47c | 74.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 64c | 70.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 65.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 38c | 63.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 60.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 36c | 54.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 28c | 53.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Yes | 62c | 44.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…daacbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Yes | 64c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 36.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…18f4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 60c | 24.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…033dbacked Yes | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…0819backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.