Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53782efb5ca81791aec9dd529486d2a8cb1e3041fa607c91564fc4055a746ecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 0c | 8,183$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 69c | 6,188$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 6,178$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 2,312$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.93 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 2,030$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 28c | 1,031$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.73 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 999.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.2 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 879.97$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 30c | 842$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 26c | 659$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…8046backed Under | 58c | 427.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 42c | 413.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 78c | 360.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 347.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 27c | 301.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…53acbacked Over | 42c | 285.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Under | 58c | 278.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 41c | 243.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 13c | 237.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 57c | 228.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 40c | 185.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…4367backed Over | 39c | 183.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 43c | 149.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…9d1ebacked Under | 58c | 109.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 92.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…10e8backed Over | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Over | 44c | 69.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…cabdbacked Over | 41c | 55.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…ce05backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 40c | 37.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…afd7backed Over | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 30.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 30.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Under | 59c | 28.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…9615backed Under | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…7325backed Under | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Over | 42c | 24.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 23.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.