Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d789a4c79add7ac93d5c339a9342eff654dde57164d8b9d16178af9e6cfd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 6,485$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.67 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 77c | 5,210$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 35c | 3,450$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.45 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 15c | 3,237$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,989$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 2,300$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,850$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.54 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 1,730$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 22c | 1,223$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.88 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 930$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 17c | 903.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 60c | 832.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 58c | 560.85$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.96 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 530.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 55c | 403.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 39c | 346.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 61c | 279.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 77c | 260.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 67c | 219.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Under | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 16c | 182.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 9c | 174.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 172.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Over | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 158.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 59c | 149$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 72c | 138.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 33c | 120.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 106.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 106.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9447backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 36c | 89.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…30f5backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…6a05backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 16c | 76.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…1db9backed Over | 57c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…dc72backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 43c | 63.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 50c | 63.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Over | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 54.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 60c | 49.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b975backed Under | 63c | 48.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 65cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…839ebacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 59c | 45.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Under | 28c | 38.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Under | 76c | 36.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…5216backed Over | 63c | 34.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…3358backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 32.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Over | 55c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Under | 56c | 24.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…2bcbbacked Over | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a18ebacked Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…5a46backed Over | 60c | 16.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 61c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.