Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bbb8158b1c9d6485bf79a8206fd0b53d6e0b845933ed95177e995503707040e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 36c | 20,833$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,332.97 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 14,703$9,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,441.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 35c | 10,616$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.44 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 65c | 3,749$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.15 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,158$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 2,728$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.06 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.79 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 2,617$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,527$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 64c | 1,473$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.52 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 60c | 1,385$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 1,345$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,195$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 63c | 1,154$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,030$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 63c | 1,006$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 36c | 999.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.97 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 65c | 987.42$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 960.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 38c | 793.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…b40ebacked Yes | 65c | 697.79$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes | 65c | 522.75$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 47c | 490.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 65c | 483.69$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 37c | 483.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 64c | 480.93$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 64c | 467.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked No | 43c | 387.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…4e98backed Yes | 64c | 384.16$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes | 64c | 279.72$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 237.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 52c | 194.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 65c | 184.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 65c | 183.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 40c | 170.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…2854backed Yes | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…e0debacked Yes | 65c | 165.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 36c | 163.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…e565backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 26c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 65c | 144.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 130.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 58c | 116$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes | 64c | 107.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked No | 37c | 107.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 56c | 107.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 64c | 102.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 62c | 96.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…85efbacked Yes | 62c | 92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…47a5backed Yes | 29c | 91.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 90.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Yes | 60c | 87.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…43fdbacked Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 50c | 79.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Yes | 64c | 79.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 65c | 70.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…2e87backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Yes | 53c | 58.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…17aebacked Yes | 70c | 56.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 37c | 56.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.