TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No36c20,833$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,332.9719239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c14,703$9,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,441.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No35c10,616$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.446137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes65c3,749$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.157841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes64c3,158$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0212748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c2,728$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.061,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.797945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes61c2,617$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.311,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes54c1,527$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8247343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes64c1,473$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.5210956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes60c1,385$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8313953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No36c1,345$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.131,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c1,195$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes63c1,154$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.1511846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c1,030$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.654,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked No63c1,006$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.242070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No36c999.96$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes65c987.42$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.822254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No27c960.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No38c793.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.738047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a1…b40ebacked Yes65c697.79$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes65c522.75$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes47c490.06$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8115347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes65c483.69$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.43554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No37c483.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.666333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes64c480.93$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.89938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes64c467.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked No43c387.48$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc140…4e98backed Yes64c384.16$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9130050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes64c279.72$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.252326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes49c237.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.551,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes52c194.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4535…d7a1backed No26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes65c184.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.679549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes65c183.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes40c170.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.46048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…2854backed Yes62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…e0debacked Yes65c165.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No36c163.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b9d…e565backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No26c150$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.428246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Yes65c144.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No43c130.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked No66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes58c116$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2813841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes64c107.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4703…ce7fbacked No37c107.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.63933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes56c107.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0912545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes64c103.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662737%10 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed No34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9410046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Yes64c102.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.314850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6329158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes62c96.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.658763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3164…85efbacked Yes62c92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.042352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…47a5backed Yes29c91.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes16c90.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1211712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5993…470dbacked Yes60c87.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900e…43fdbacked Yes65c84.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505853.4%31 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes50c79.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3510242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Yes64c79.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes65c70.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4413149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.579045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa1…2e87backed Yes65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.418449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes61c59.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed Yes53c58.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.961250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf94…17aebacked Yes70c56.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed No37c56.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.451936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed No36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes64c54.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83f4…d10cbacked Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.