Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d1a0cc1e6db32a36466c659fd210d894f279d43064c87e3afc15d9960ddf72

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $228,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,373 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under	39c	44,769$17,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,094.95	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under	62c	22,451$13,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,587.05	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	39c	18,000$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,979.95	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under	46c	12,031$5,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,535.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	61c	9,676$5,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,902.23	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	60c	9,071$5,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,479.33	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	45c	8,440$3,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,774.5	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	40c	8,355$3,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,013.15	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	60c	7,857$4,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,722.71	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under	39c	6,757$2,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,121.73	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over	61c	6,077$3,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,707.03	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over	61c	5,738$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.98	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	34c	4,393$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under	40c	4,385$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,609.96	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over	61c	4,098$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Under	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Over	53c	3,898$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.38	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	3,645$2,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,061.6	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	34c	3,372$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.94	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	60c	3,316$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.6	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under	42c	3,209$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.86	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under	40c	2,770$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.01	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over	60c	2,681$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.55	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over	61c	2,387$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.4	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	60c	2,212$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.19	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	42c	2,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	52c	2,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.94	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over	61c	1,887$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.86	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Over	61c	1,649$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	40c	1,500$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Over	60c	1,399$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.41	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Under	40c	1,334$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.27	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	41c	1,220$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.51	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	55c	1,138$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.13	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over	61c	1,132$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.42	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	41c	1,100$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…36cbbacked Over	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under	41c	1,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under	40c	999.91$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.76	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over	60c	998.53$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.12	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	61c	901.64$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	60c	880.8$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.48	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	59c	835.32$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.84	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over	61c	660$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.6	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	60c	655$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	60c	633.33$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	61c	597.28$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.14	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over	60c	585.9$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed Over	23c	546.31$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.36	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	40c	525.31$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.81	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over	60c	508$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.8	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Over	59c	460.75$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.45	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Over	60c	400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	61c	357.38$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over	62c	341.26$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-18%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Over	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	40c	318$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.8	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	38c	316.51$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.34	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over	59c	314.97$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.83	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Over	60c	269.9$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.97	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	60c	265$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	60c	256.67$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Over	59c	252.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over	59c	250.94$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.05	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Under	41c	248$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.32	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	31c	242.62$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.83	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over	41c	230.68$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over	53c	198.04$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over	59c	193$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.95	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over	58c	191.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	60c	188.7$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.22	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under	42c	178.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.57	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	40c	174.45$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.67	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…a6e2backed Over	60c	170$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over	60c	170$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Over	60c	167.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Over	60c	166.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	61c	165.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	34c	156.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.32	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event