TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ff7…6e09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5853.4%31 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$26.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.35
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72%+$32.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$50
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$27.45
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.69
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.72
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.5%+$64.15
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Liverpool FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$21.55
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+71.4%+$42.86
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+59.4%+$21.21
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.75
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$8.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$12.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$303.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.