TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over60c27,445$16,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,467.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c20,543$9,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,995.391,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over43c10,746$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.432429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under40c8,581$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.6413151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over60c7,323$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.9233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under45c4,095$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.510733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under39c1,696$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.4510845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under33c1,691$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under24c1,437$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.395230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over64c1,309$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.642748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under58c1,297$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7434342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c1,182$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under45c1,132$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…be90backed Under43c974.42$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under40c955.54$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.3210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over57c906.51$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under42c892.58$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c832.87$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c620.72$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x532a…bfefbacked Under45c590.5$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.81844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over58c589.71$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.376852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Over58c560.34$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under40c552.13$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under45c505.8$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.195448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222c…0772backed Under45c496.67$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.674100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27038356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Over58c413.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over60c405.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1110051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over53c363.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.795745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under40c360.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1916753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under40c360$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c357.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2938253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21017251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under41c318.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.759540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over61c281$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under39c269.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over60c254$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15046956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Over57c245.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.112250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under30c240.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.164852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under31c239$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Under29c224.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under38c215.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9139743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under30c208.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Under38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.997941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c158.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.031,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818341%34 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under42c146.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7723947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+201.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under45c125.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over72c109.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.571040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over40c88.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c87.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6317053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.998252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over70c83.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.77475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over71c80$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under40c74.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9111650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe40c…19fdbacked Under28c72.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+195.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over76c71.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.394671.7%33 W · 13 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Under45c71.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1110431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over78c70.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Under73c69.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under41c65.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9113149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e5…936bbacked Under45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under40c63.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0511850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc504…8cfebacked Over49c62.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over67c62.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.