TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c25,830$10,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,513.991,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9815032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under60c2,433$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over35c1,749$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.725230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under63c1,586$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.534759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35cb…bd5fbacked Over33c1,522$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+566.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over38c1,485$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5538253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.992748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.383132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under62c799.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9915657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under54c657.23$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.821037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over38c611.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2813931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over49c585$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.653930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Under61c573.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over35c571.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1959445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over40c457.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8913149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under60c450$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under60c450$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under60c450$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over58c420.02$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.616852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under61c402.53$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8923947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under60c378$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.210845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c376.66$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under60c360$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14417855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Under52c359.97$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over44c357.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9510051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over40c336.77$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3313234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under66c326.68$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.075248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c296.79$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under54c275.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.85246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1610249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10046956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under60c190$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7613252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c188.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5942438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under59c172.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6813352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6813548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6813751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6816251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under63c166.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.539743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6415651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.459246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under65c119.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9865050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over52c93.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4711653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c87.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.888252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa784…d62cbacked Under61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+366.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Under61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under60c62.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0711449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Under66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6119856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.