Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09de40d48ebf8de63217ef0bc0aad0bc9959b434378913f03b23405e164af62d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 42c | 14,284$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.27 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 58c | 6,710$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 5,144$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,186$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 40c | 2,560$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.29 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 2,039$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 43c | 1,469$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.67 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 440.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 57c | 340.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 334.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 291.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 52c | 223.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 207$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 205.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 61c | 137.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 136.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Yes | 58c | 134.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…355abacked Yes | 57c | 68.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Yes | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 57c | 43.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 58c | 27.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Yes | 78c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.