Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947804a6719dcab42c5180e56157f85182e8b5f8cacc042932e1465889ecd2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Brentford FC, AFC Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf06d…2504backed Brentford FC | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…f57cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…3514backed AFC Bournemouth | 79c | 320$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…3e51backed AFC Bournemouth | 79c | 280$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 170$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 25c | 106.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Brentford FC | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brentford FC | 20c | 67.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 74c | 56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 51.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.