World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a835e61937a13f8497005f4cebd4e970a1064ea2cfad3e06e08903af7d8f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 1c | 11,606$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 16c | 5,957$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.02 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…ef09backed Yes | 18c | 5,440$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…fb79backed Yes | 8c | 3,416$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,581$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 38c | 2,512$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.5 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 69c | 2,375$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.01 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 20c | 2,300$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 38c | 2,175$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.04 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 24c | 2,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 38c | 1,865$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 69c | 1,729$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 66c | 1,523$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 63c | 1,456$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 35c | 1,400$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 1,331$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 63c | 1,326$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,219$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…ecf8backed Yes | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,098$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 1,058$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 33c | 999.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 7c | 937.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 21c | 931.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 65c | 900$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 34c | 885.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 37c | 878.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 30c | 869.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 867.24$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.54 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 58c | 862.97$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…4a6cbacked Yes | 16c | 804.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked No | 58c | 779$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 11c | 773.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 749.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…5f25backed Yes | 8c | 744.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 38c | 679.06$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 61c | 678.88$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed No | 69c | 620.85$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 20c | 611.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 35c | 606$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…8ae5backed Yes | 28c | 561.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…bf7dbacked Yes | 28c | 532.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…4d75backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 34c | 496.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 68c | 493.39$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 65c | 457.97$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked No | 69c | 437.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…8561backed Yes | 15c | 429.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked Yes | 8c | 406$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 66c | 390$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…fb5dbacked Yes | 56c | 360.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 57c | 324.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 62c | 315.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…7f0fbacked No | 62c | 309$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…b9e3backed No | 63c | 308$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 61c | 304.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 14c | 303.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 36c | 301.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 25c | 292.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 31c | 285.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 70c | 272.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…492dbacked Yes | 53c | 263.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 65c | 263.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 17c | 262.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 38c | 261.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…be1fbacked No | 55c | 256$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 34c | 245.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 37c | 224.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…bd92backed Yes | 24c | 221.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…6d05backed Yes | 39c | 187.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 11c | 181.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 41c | 179$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 7c | 175.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 70c | 172.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 38c | 171.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 40c | 171.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 78c | 167.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951d…f79fbacked Yes | 15c | 164.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b48…fdcabacked Yes | 31c | 162.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…d7b8backed No | 63c | 157.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5b7ebacked Yes | 9c | 157.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72f…dc56backed No | 57c | 157.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…034abacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.